HawthorneVillager.com

Hawthorne Village (Milton) Discussion Board
It is currently Sat Jun 13, 2026 6:42 pm

All times are UTC - 5 hours




Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 1889 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1 ... 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48 ... 126  Next
Author Message
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Fri Aug 26, 2011 9:58 am 
Offline

Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2010 4:10 pm
Posts: 813
Dabills wrote:
DTC, i used windsor as an example of a place that has not had major bubble like activity.

montreal too if you want. thats a big city but doesnt seem to have same mania type culture running through it. each area is different.

i think Vancouver and the GTA are pretty bad, central toronto might even be better than the burbs.


First you mention Windsor then you mention Montreal? LOL. How about Pembroke, or Wawa, or Cochrane. I bet they have "normal"markets as well.

Pretty much all of Quebec is like living in a different country -- their markets can't be compared to the rest of Canada. Look at the difference between living in Ottawa and living in Gatineau -- 5 minutes apart, Quebec side is WAAAAAAY cheaper - for a reason.

The reality is, there isn't any other Canadian city you can compare Toronto or Vancouver to. They are #1 and #2 in Canada. Vancouver is a mini LA and Toronto is a mini NYC.

New York City has 8.1 million residents and represents about 2% of the population of the United States.

Toronto has 2.5 million residents and represents about 7.5% of the population of Canada.

The GTA is at around 5.5 million residents (last survey) which is almost 17% of the entire population of Canada. 1/5th of the population of the entire country lives in the GTA and you expect to still see house prices at 1990's levels with slow increases? No, you want to be part of the epicenter, you pay -- or you move further away/smaller house/condo.

_________________

Looking for something to do today?
Day Trips Canada - http://www.day-trips.ca


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Fri Aug 26, 2011 10:26 am 
Offline

Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2010 4:10 pm
Posts: 813
Dabills wrote:
those responses were for shawn for some context, not all areas are the same.

California and flordia. #1 and #4 in terms of population in US. didnt matter.


That's right.. because in the US they gave away half million dollar mortgages to McDonalds employees who actually never paid a single mortgage payment while builders kept building.

Again, we went over this before. Canada is Canada. US is US. Different markets, different players, different laws, different rules, different frauds.

In the states they tossed the keys to their house in the banks dropbox, got in their car and went off to work. No biggie, they did 0 down anyways.

In Ontario, you toss your keys, you get a call from a lawyer with two options -- wage garnishment to pay back everything you owe or bankruptcy. Bankruptcy is hardly a "fun" experience. Forget owning a car, getting a good job (they do credit checks), renting any decent property etc.

Trust me, in the US, housing was the first thing people gave up when things went south (which is why they have massive over inventory issues now).

In Ontario, housing will be the very last thing people give up. First will be cell phones, entertainment, college funds, RRSPs, credit card payments, car payments etc. Without hundreds of thousands of homes in foreclosure, Canada isn't the US.

If you were in Florida, and you bought a mansion at 0 down, never paid a mortgage payment for 6 months then were told to get out, what would you care? You had free rent for 6 months with zero impact to you.

Now multiply that by the hundreds of thousands. That's the US.

_________________

Looking for something to do today?
Day Trips Canada - http://www.day-trips.ca


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Fri Aug 26, 2011 7:36 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2010 8:22 am
Posts: 3430
Dabills wrote:
those responses were for shawn for some context, not all areas are the same.

California and flordia. #1 and #4 in terms of population in US. didnt matter.


You are comparing states (CA & FL) against cities (Vancouver & Toronto)???


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sat Aug 27, 2011 6:28 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2010 8:22 am
Posts: 3430
Dabills wrote:
Sure, if we are saying population means something then sure let's use them. Also let's not forget California is much more desirable than both Toronto and Vancouver. Still meant nothing, check LA's fall from the peak. 30 percent or more I believe.

It can happen in any city, state or provinve when things get out of hand.


To the contrary, there is much more demand to live in Vancouver than any other city in North America (& if you compare against California it is not even close because you are including junk areas like Sacramento and other smaller cities)

LA of course falls apart because of the huge lower class areas which collapse even during a small recession as live paycheck to paycheck (and as ghetto expands people on outskirts of ghetto will also abandon homes)


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sat Aug 27, 2011 7:22 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2010 8:22 am
Posts: 3430
Batman wrote:
shawnrk1 wrote:
To the contrary, there is much more demand to live in Vancouver than any other city in North America

Are you kidding me? In Canada I might buy this argument (with no proof whatsoever) but in North America? You are just plain wrong.


Vancouver:
http://www12.statcan.ca/census-recensem ... =1&S=0&O=A

San Francisco, California has the highest per capita concentration of Chinese Americans of any major city in the United States, at an estimated 19.8%, or 157,747 people

Is there anyone here who thinks that of Vancouver's 2 million people they are less than 10% (200,000) Chinese?


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sat Aug 27, 2011 7:26 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2010 8:22 am
Posts: 3430
Dabills wrote:
What is Vancouvers industry again? i think you are buying into this whole idea that half of china is arriving on the shores of Vancouver and buying houses with suitcases of money. i am sure it has happened on a very small scale.


What would industry have to do with this? It is predominantly rich upper class Hong Kong that is buying in the north & west area.

Contrast that to San Fransisco that is mainly from Guandong (spelling?) and are working class (SF chinatown looks far more like Spadina area than Markham area because they are totally different people!)


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sat Aug 27, 2011 7:45 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2010 8:22 am
Posts: 3430
Dabills wrote:
Sure shawn, there might 200,000 chinese Canadians in Vancouver. I am not sure why that matters? Are you implying all Chinese Canadians are very wealthy and can explain the massive rise in RE values in Vancouver?


Erm because this entire tangent is discussing why house prices in Vancouver are so ridiculously high compared to other cities in North America (your original comment was that California is more desirable than Vancouver or Toronto and I have been saying for a couple pages now how wrong that is)


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sat Aug 27, 2011 9:08 pm 
Offline

Joined: Mon Feb 23, 2009 7:09 pm
Posts: 1922
Location: Thompson and Derry
How on earth did this reach 94 pages?


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sun Aug 28, 2011 7:25 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2010 8:22 am
Posts: 3430
Dabills wrote:
Shawn, vancouver reaching these levels has nothing to do with it being desirable for any fundamental reason. Its mania. You are proving my point for me.

What has changed to make vancouver so amazing that people will pay 1 million for a dump? Nothing, expectation of future gains, that's it. Same reason why people are lining up outside mattamy.


Again back to the rich immigrants; it also is the physically closest point in North America (excluding Hawaii) should a person wish to travel back to their home

I agree that investing in BC real estate is foolish (as it is already so incredibly expensive to live) but as demand far outstrips supply I refuse to believe anything short of a depression will ever bring most of that real estate back to earth


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject: My input
PostPosted: Sun Aug 28, 2011 6:24 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Sat Jan 23, 2010 5:10 am
Posts: 25
It is about time for me to respond after all this nonsense you guys are talking about. 1990 crash and today want-a-be crash just cannot compare.
In the 1990 there were reasons why the market crashed and there was no reason to overinflate the housing market, after 1990 crash everything went back to normal because there was low inflation and gas, cigarettes, coffee, groceries etc... were normal. Today, everything is tripple or quadruple since 1990 and prices of homes are justified. For builders to make any money they have to lift the prices according to gas, materials and labour costs. Those prices benefit us, buyers, sellers and builders. Mattamy is only one company that invests their income in land, that is why Mattamy has the cheapest prices around. Other builders buy from Mattamy or they buy expensive land and their homes are expensive. In my opinion there won't be crash, maybe a price balance 10% down, 5% up. I don't see prices dropping after everything else going up including the most important thing building materials and labour. Just my few cents.


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sun Aug 28, 2011 8:52 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2008 12:42 pm
Posts: 3336
Location: Milton
Dabills wrote:
welcome to the madness bob rock (love metallica black album by the way, great work).

so inflation in everything cigarettes, gas, houses but not incomes? i dont see how that ends up well for a 16 year old right now. 10% down, 5 % up? sure i could see that. how long for the 5% back up though. for it drop to 10% it might take a long time for it to go back up 5% again using your 1990 example anyway.


you dont think incomes have risen since 1990?


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sun Aug 28, 2011 9:46 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Sat Apr 28, 2007 12:35 pm
Posts: 1413
As an example:

2004 -> 250 Toronto Police officers made over $100,000
2010 -> 1,329 Toronto Police officers made over $100,000
2011 -> 2,159 Toronto Police officers made over $100,000

Yeah, salaries have stayed the same over the last 20 years

:wink:


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sun Aug 28, 2011 10:39 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Sat Apr 28, 2007 12:35 pm
Posts: 1413
As my post said, it's an example of income growth. I used Police officers info because it's a profession I can readily find the stats on the salaries.
No, income growth has not been stagnant and you keep contradicting yourself in the same post. On the one hand you say income has risen, the next breath you say it's stagnant.

I broke my own rule of not commenting on this pointless thread. The thread should be moved to the mortgage and finance section with you talking to yourself like williamb has for 5 years now.


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Aug 29, 2011 7:21 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Sat Apr 28, 2007 12:35 pm
Posts: 1413
Batman wrote:
You used police officers because you could readily skew those 100+ stats with G8/G20 anomolies. Next.

:roll:
I guess we had a G8/G20 every year from 2004 to 2009, that must explain the 431% increase from 250 to 1329 earning above 100k right?
And no, I am not saying people earning over 100k have increased by 431% for every job role (sigh). This was just an example that salaries have not stayed stagnant in 21 years.

Btw
Those years reflect the previous years earning as I obviously can not yet know the earnings for 2011.


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Aug 29, 2011 10:24 am 
Offline

Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2010 4:10 pm
Posts: 813
Dabills wrote:
http://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/business/a/-/wa/10124836/high-price-of-homes-stealing-a-future?source=patrick.net

this is what i am talking about when referring to a 16 year old today. This is just not sustainable.


Quote:
Though acknowledging interest rates were a major factor in housing affordability, the governor said he could not understand why a country as big as Australia seemingly had a shortage of land.


The problem isn't the fact Australia is a large country with lots of land. The problem is people want to live within 30 minutes of Sydney, not in the outback.

There is TONS of land in Canada and HARDLY a problem with affordability of homes. You can get $150-250k beautiful houses with lots of land in 95% of the country. Sometimes even cheaper! The problem is that everyone wants to live in the very same area, the GTA, which is only so big. That is where there is a shortage of development land.

_________________

Looking for something to do today?
Day Trips Canada - http://www.day-trips.ca


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 1889 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1 ... 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48 ... 126  Next

All times are UTC - 5 hours


Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
Powered by phpBB® Forum Software © phpBB Group
[ Time : 0.035s | 11 Queries | GZIP : Off ]